Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $778,571$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{710,785.4}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 126.9)}}\) (asimptote \(710,785.4\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $21,289$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{19,940.1}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 131.0)}}\) (asimptote \(19,940.1\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $40,838$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $92,475$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{108,793.3}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 229.9)}}\) (asimptote \(108,793.3\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,034$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $21,988$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,570$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{14,173.6}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 205.9)}}\) (asimptote \(14,173.6\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $105$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{147.0}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 201.1)}}\) (asimptote \(147.0\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $509$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $80,407$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{95,398.8}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 201.3)}}\) (asimptote \(95,398.8\))
Start date 2020-04-02 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,140$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,300.7}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 192.9)}}\) (asimptote \(1,300.7\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $27,682$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $340,684$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{778,657.6}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 264.6)}}\) (asimptote \(778,657.6\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,619$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,403.5}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 251.9)}}\) (asimptote \(11,403.5\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $45,257$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $114,475$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{104,979.9}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 99.1)}}\) (asimptote \(104,979.9\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $6,596$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,169.8}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 105.2)}}\) (asimptote \(6,169.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,611$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,676$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,419.6}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 69.7)}}\) (asimptote \(5,419.6\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $61$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{60.2}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 59.0)}}\) (asimptote \(60.2\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $39$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,146$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,182.4}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 108.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,182.4\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $85$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{84.9}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 74.3)}}\) (asimptote \(84.9\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $56$ on 2020-11-26